By Peter Schwartz
The writer of the bestseller The artwork of the lengthy View forecasts the inevitable surprises that may form the enterprise global of the following day. the area we are living in this day is extra unstable than ever. the protection of unfastened international locations is threatened through rogue states, the worldwide economic climate is in flux, and the swift increase of expertise forces consistent reevaluation of our society. With such a lot of robust forces at paintings and probably unpredictable occasions taking place, to many the long run turns out darkish, and its probabilities scary. Peter Schwartz disagrees. A world-renowned visionary within the box of state of affairs making plans, Schwartz’s startling—and actual— predictions were hired through executive companies and significant companies for greater than twenty-five years. He argues that the longer term is foreseeable, and that by means of interpreting the dynamics at paintings this day we will be able to are expecting the “inevitable surprises” of the next day. well timed and thought-provoking, Inevitable Surprises is a booklet that nobody with an curiosity in business—or the way forward for our society—can have the funds for to overlook.
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Additional resources for Inevitable Surprises
Sample text
This book is for people who want to get past denial and defensiveness, to be the masters of their own fate in a world full of surprises. The first step in making that transition is to pay attention to the inevitable surprises of the future, and to develop strategies for dealing with them. Different aspects of the environment demand different strategies. We know about some of the surprises in this book, for example, precisely because they have been a long time coming. They move in slow, steady ways; they can be seen coming for decades.
One common question is: Can you actually see these things coming? I’ll let you judge for yourself, by exploring the “face validity” of the predictions in this book. This is not a scattershot exercise; all of the points in this book are carefully thought through, drawn from intensive research and scenario projects that I and others at Global Business Network have conducted, as well as on cutting-edge sources of information around the world. All of them are inevitable—that is, I have phrased and developed them to distinguish those that are certain to take place from those that are merely likely.
That figure will only increase. In such a world many people will never retire; they’ll simply go on working until they become infirm. They will change careers, reeducate themselves, and continue to learn and produce as they go. Many employers have also been influenced by the assumption, either explicit or implicit, that older people are less productive than younger people. But studies comparing productivity between older A World Integrated with Elders | 35 and younger workers find either no difference, or even a slight edge for older workers.
